Thread regarding Fossil Inc. layoffs

Smartwatches (almost) ki-led the company, but the wound was self inflicted

Looking back it is astounding to realize how much value Fossil management destroyed by going after smartwatches.

Smartwatches were unquestionably a "disruptive" innovation that came to challenge Fossil Group bread and butter core business. At the time (2014-15) it was probably the correct calm to buy into the new segment by acquiring Misfit, although the price paid looks ludicrous now.

What really went wrong though, and where I lay most of the responsibility to top management and Kosta specifically, was to not keep and sustain Misfit separately. Instead management decided to roll out all the non sensical not-mature smartwatches to all the brands, creating a money pit for capital allocation, disrupting the processes that had been in place for years and creating conflict of interests and priorities all over the place. This simply diluted the value and credibility of the brands to which the smartwatch "cancer" was introduced like a virus to a healthy ecosystem. Moreover, in the process, the Misfit brand and goodwill which at the time had potential was entirely destroyed and written off.

If instead the Smartwatch offering had been cultivated in a separate, independent unit and only brought over to the rest of the portfolio selectively when the quality and scale was acceptable (say for instance, now) we would now be in a much healthier situation and hundreds of millions and thousands of jobs would have not been lost.

This is the "innovator's dilemma" 101 which dominated corporate strategy in technology for the last twenty years. It is shocking that our highly paid, MBA rich management team never got the memo and led us to this situation. Sometimes corporate demise comes down to few decisions: in Fossil case embracing the smartwatch pipe dream to me was the biggest mistake.

We now hear that the brands and organization need to go back to "their roots", focus on the core and on premium/desirability which is all well and good, except we are a few years too late on what should have been done the moment the Apple watch came to the market.

by
| 2557 views | | 7 replies (last ) | Reply
Post ID: @OP+1mOiaNJV

7 replies (most recent on top)

Well said. Trying to compete with Apple was the d-mbest business move Kosta ever made, and he knows it. Especially with a sub-par Google watch which no one is buying. Fossil can’t keep up with technology and Kosta hired some mo--ns to run Wearables, HR/Training, and even Stores.

The fault is Kosta. He’s the top. The leaders he surrounds himself at Fossil are precisely the reason so many good, talented people left in the last 5 years.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @Mbyc+1mOiaNJV

pipethepipe the current stock price as it is related to the IPO price of $2 is actually worse because FOSL has completed 4 stock splits in at 3 for 2 over the years so that $2 share investment actually became 3.375 shares or $6.75 equivalent.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @jfll+1mOiaNJV

On the last comment ....notable that Fossil did the IPO 40 YEARS AGO AT 2$ / share , which is pretty much where the share price is at now....so the Smartwatch "adventure" essentially wiped out 4 decades of work and efforts....well done Greg!

By the way what we are talking about in terms of strategy is essentially what Movado did...and in fact it is no coincidence that their revenue are still half of Fossil Group (although growing) but their market capitalization is more than 5x higher...I am sure that must be pleasing for Kosta!

Embarassing.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @4lhn+1mOiaNJV

fosl at $2.26, what a shame.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @4wlz+1mOiaNJV

Thanks for your comments...misery likes company! Unquestionably Fossil management should have kept Misfit separate and independent...they not only ki-led the brand but, through it, ended up diluting the positioning and credibility of the rest of the portfolio as well...who needs a Kate Spade smartwatch?!

This was truly a gigantic and self inflicted mistake and as much as I agree that the Innovator's Dilemma was common knowledge in the tech industry for the last 10 years, for Fossil management it would have been sufficient to look at the history of their very own product and sector...

When the Japanese introduced quartz in the late 70s and and early 80s, dealing an almost fatal blow to the Swiss Mechanical Watch, what did the Swatch Group do to win? They introduced a NEW brand (ie Swatch) to compete instead of mass manufacturing Omegas or Blancpains with a quartz movements...and ironically through that success and strategic win they were able use their capital to acquire more high end brands that served handsomely later when consumers returned to traditional watches.

Time will tell if what Fossil did was a fatal mistake, maybe there is still time, ultimately the industry is an oligopoly, gross margins are high and capex required in traditional watches low. Sadly though the company now has both to disentangle itself from the tech it has invested in in smartwatches and , to try and recover, renounce to a segment of the market which is cooling, but still exist (oh it would be nice to have Misfit now!)

One thing is certain: the management who was responsible for making this calls should, if not fired, take responsibility and a major demotion for such bad judgement. I would like to hear a question on this on some of the upcoming earnings calls..."how did you blow it so badly and what lessons have you learned?" instead of these ridiculous questions their PR prepares.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @4usc+1mOiaNJV

I couldn't agree more with your assessment. It's astonishing to see how Fossil's management mishandled the integration of smartwatches into their portfolio, ultimately leading to value destruction. The decision to not keep Misfit separate and instead spread the smartwatch technology across all their brands was indeed a costly mistake.

Our Fossil ELT appears to have missed the fundamental lessons of the "innovator's dilemma," which has been central to corporate strategy in tech for decades. In addition, their continued extensive globe-trotting and unlimited spending further indicate a lack of sound judgment!

The call to return to the roots and focus on core products is long overdue. It is frustrating that this change in direction comes years after it should have been initiated, when the Apple Watch first entered the market. If only the management had recognized these issues earlier, countless jobs and resources could have been saved.

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @3xpl+1mOiaNJV

It was always Greg

by
| | Reply
Post ID: @2ukf+1mOiaNJV

Post a reply

: