Thread regarding Chevron Corp. layoffs

So, what's going on with the Oil and Gas Industry?

What’s going on with the industry? Only time will reveal what caused the industry slump (and subsequent recovery). Shale Drilling + Renewables + Environmental Laws + Fuel Efficient Vehicles / Electric + Complicated Geopolitics did not factor into the supply/demand equation in the past. Oil prices might recover quickly, but they might also take 15+ years to recover, nobody really knows.

Chevron might as well be doomed, but with a recovery in mid 2018 or 2019, it might recover and prosper.

Our dear OPEC has a mind of its own is utterly unpredictable - no one saw this crash coming, and likewise no one can really predict what will happen in the next year or two. It will be interesting...

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Post ID: @OP+PvSpDUZ

49 replies (most recent on top)

actually there was a large number of speculative bullish trades on oil futures when it was trading at +$100. u can argue a large part of the run-up was due to speculation. if u look at supply/demand curves it wasn't like demand for oil was going gangbusters to support such a run in futures. the financial crisis basically burst that bubble and all the trades collapsed.

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Post ID: @1fcc+PvSpDUZ

LNG plants are very expressive to build. Chevron started the Gorgon and Wheatstone projects with a 5 year construction to startup timeline. Of course, the timeline was besieged by cost over runs and delays. During all that time, natural gas prices began declining, making the investment less lucrative or the ROCE payout further out in the future. Natural gas is abundant and fracking technologies has helped bring more of it to market. LNG still has a market. It can be shipped to countries, where pipelines are not the viable means of transportation. But LNG is no longer the golden goose we thought it would be when we gave the projects in Australia the green light.

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Post ID: @1duw+PvSpDUZ

I couldn't believe you replied either :) And its already happening in California.

http://www.utilitydive.com/news/shift-towards-renewables-behind-decline-in-california-gas-demand/449627/

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Post ID: @ozo+PvSpDUZ

"If China/India reach renewable energy targets for power generation"? Are you being serious? Those targets are not only superficial and meaningless but not even in the order of magnitude that fossil fuel energy sources provide and at much greater costs. I have a feeling that you are just a troll. I can't believe that I'm even responding to such a laughable troll comment.

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Post ID: @heo+PvSpDUZ

Something I have been wondering (if anyone in layoff land knows better) is what could happen to the LNG markets. If China/India reach renewable energy targets for power generation, could it depress demand for LNG? If suppliers are already trying to renegotiate their long term contracts what could happen in the future.

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Post ID: @web+PvSpDUZ

Oil is coming back. The companies didn't see the downturn coming but the upturn is easier to recognize given that capital projects have ceased and all fields eventually go on decline.

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Post ID: @bks+PvSpDUZ

Plenty of people saw this crash coming. The world was awash in oil, Libya was about to come online, people were still drilling like crazy and it is a cyclical industry. Only complete morons thought $100 oil was here to stay (not mentioning any names, but...)

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Post ID: @sqw+PvSpDUZ

What caused the slump is over-supply you idiot. Read the news.

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Post ID: @kby+PvSpDUZ

If you have to ask here, then you don't watch any tv, listen to the radio or surf the net for current industry and company news.

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Post ID: @tnf+PvSpDUZ

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