The analysts say GE stock will probably drop another 30% in the next year, and many believe the parts are only worth 11 to 14 a share if broken up.
Many also believe that Nelson Peltz will force a breakup to get his cash out.
True, GE executives have big egos and believe they can fix GE and that it is just the power generation market. I am afraid that if they really believe this, and don't restore GE Power to an excellent engineering, manufacturing, and supplier of turbines like it used to be, a breakup is probable. Unfortunately, they do not have all the other businesses they sold low in desperation to hide poor organic cash flow to contribute to cash flow going forward.
The management structure is so bloated with no nothing managers brought in since 1998 under the Six Sigma regime that they really don't have any experts left who know the business from the bottom up. Duplicate facilities and bloated management has to be replaced by experts who know what the hell is going on, instead of the fakers they have now. This could take 3 to 5 years, but Wall Street and investors will only give them less than two.
Even f they have three years, this may be very difficult to recreate, which is the key to GE success at the day to day execution level.