When will Ford go Bankrupt?

I am reading Ford has a 50% chance to go bankrupt in the next 2 years. What does everyone else think?

Ford Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis
Ford's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense 1.02 B 1.65 B 1.8 B 1.57 B
Gross Profit 11.73 B 5.79 B 16.44 B 15.2 B

Probability Of Bankruptcy Z-Score
Current Ford Probability Of Bankruptcy => 49%

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Chapter 7 where all assets are sold? Nope, wont happen because the family loses everything. Chapter 11? ahhh, thats a different story. I could see that happening maybe, but you think its a shitshow now? Wait until the bankruptcy reorganization plan is put into place. You'll see 40-50% of the people gone and because of the family and friends program, most of the incompetent LL's will survive. Could you imagine the conversation at the family dinner parties? Every one of them would skewer Billy for being such a jack wagon.

Seems low, I think it is higher.

In 1-3 years

I sold off all my ford stock several months ago. Not taking any chances nor did I want to be invested in a morally bankrupt company.

It's way higher than 50%. The debt to cash ratio means that Ford will be insolvent after a couple of bad quarters. Can you say recession? 2023 could be their swab song.

Well most of their Executives are already morally bankrupt, so there's that...

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When will Ford go Bankrupt?

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