"It is our expectation that U.S. home prices, as an aggregate, will decline by single digits in 2023 and single digits again in 2024."
"The problem is, there are a ton of investors sitting in money market funds passively. The answer is making our bonds more appealing by raising the interest rate on that debt. It’s a straightforward formula."
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4609445-us-housing-is-a-dead-man-walking-update-2023
- Buying a home in the U.S. is extremely unaffordable as housing, adjusted for inflation and mortgage rates, is the most expensive in four decades.
- Home prices are down 1-4% over the past year.
- There is not a “shortage” of housing.
- The unprecedented expansion of the money stock ignited the strong rise in home prices.
- Our research concludes that single digit declines in home prices are probable over the next 18 months.