Following is how I see the worst case scenario for Intel (which I hope will not happen):
1 - Foundry business moves forward while the product business is completely shutdown (I expect this to be a gradual transition rather than an overnight decision. First sign will be to shut down Intel Labs, which is a cost center with little contribution to the bottom line. A telltale sign of this will be a significant headcount reduction at levels of 50%, reducing the total Intel Labs headcount to ~400. Remaining business units will increase their in-house research to compensate. To a large extent, they are already doing that)
2 - Foundry business focus does not go as expected (despite removing the product business from greater Intel). At that point Intel will probably go on sale. Intel is currently spending a lot of money on assets which will be very valuable to a company who knows how to make money from foundry business (such as TSMC).
3 - The majority of the existing foundry employees will be laid off. The scale of this layoff will depend on who buys the business. I expect such acquisition to be a multi-party venture. Therefore, depending on the mix of the venture, most existing employees may or may not stay.
Came across this breakdown here: @per+1t14hlpU. Your thoughts?