Without being financialy educated (by that I mean educated investor) my stance on this matter is this: we get the stocks at a discounted price. They also pay dividends. Right now the company is hoovering aroud the bottom of market of big boys (direct competitors or the big 5 etc etc) They are trying to turn it around. Not worki g. The id--ts who are driving now will be removed. The CEO is nearing a 10y term and a review of his achievements is overdue. He took over in 2015. The shares were around 27usd. Adjusted to inflation that is around 35usd today. The stock is 45usd as we speak. Without considering the market share which is shrinking due to outperforming competitors and divergent technologies that are cutting into Cisco's markets (ex: Cloud), it all comes down to a 1% growth. They will have to sack him and his team. That will spike the stock. That is when I plan to selll, unless the stock spikes line 15-20% for other reasons.
The main problem as I see it is that there is no major area where groundbreaking innovations could spike the stock. We are a network company and our golden years are behind us. If you look back each of the main hightech companies rode a wave or two that made them as big as they ate today: Google seaching an indexing info, Microsoft -the PC revolution, Meta -social networks, Cisco -campus network and routing and switching, Juniper security and Internet, Arista -Datacenter.Some of the above reinvented themselves and managed to turn around and avoid the plateu phase. Microsoft in particular shines here with AI, Software as Service (office 360,Azure,VSCode,Github etc etc). I picked MS as example just to show what it takes to make Cisco turn around. Visionary thinking is needed, someone like MS's CEO is needed, someone who started at the bottom, who grew up with the technology and who was a technical person for a long time. Chuck had a brief 5 years of technical work. After that sales and windbagging for the rest of his life without notable achievements in the technology field. It is mindblowing to see how fluffed his wikipedia page is. His achievements are anything but technology related and no wonder why the company is not advancing. His achievements would be notable if Cisco would be some NGO millitating for improving the social aspects of the corporate life.
` As CEO, Robbins became noted for accelerating the pace of Cisco's modern growth,[2][8] while disrupting outdated working modes,[9] promoting employee trust based in transparency of policy and process,[10] and humanitarian policies and workplace diversity.[11][12][13]
In 2018, as the GDPR came into effect, Robbins called for more regulation and for the tech industry to help educate regulators. In February 2019, Robbins promoted the need for comprehensive global privacy legislation, asserting privacy as “a fundamental human right."[14]
Robbins advocated against a 15% increase on tariffs for Chinese goods.[15][16] Robbins has advocated for corporate social responsibility. In March 2018, Cisco pledged to donate $50M to Destination: Home, an organization devoted to ending homelessness in Santa Clara County, where Cisco's headquarters is located. Robbins serves as honorary counsel....`
So yes I would hold till Chuck is removed. Money parked in this stock for me, something like government bonds but which pays dividends