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Indian Outsourcing Firms Prep for Curbs on H-1B Visa Workers Under Trump

[Quoting entire article below link for ease of reference].

http://www.wsj.com/articles/indian-outsourcing-firms-fear-curbs-on-h-1b-visa-workers-under-trump-1484820031

NEW DELHI—President-elect Donald Trump doesn’t take office in Washington until Friday, but he is already forcing firms in India’s mammoth $108 billion technology-outsourcing industry to rethink their hiring practices in the U.S., their largest market.

While Mr. Trump has chastised U.S. firms for offshoring American jobs, Indian outsourcing firms could be set to see renewed heat for doing the opposite—placing foreign workers in the U.S., mainly through a skilled-worker visa, known as the H-1B. Faced with the prospect of possible new curbs on those visas from a president who has pledged to ensure that Americans get their first pick of available jobs, outsourcers are ramping up hiring both on American college campuses and at home in India.

“Depending on the nature of the policy, it can have some impact on the way companies like mine have worked in the past, so we will have to adjust to that,” said Vishal Sikka, chief executive of Infosys Ltd., one of India’s top outsourcing and software companies, in an interview in Davos, Switzerland.

Noting that there is a “severe shortage” of people with the right technical skills in the U.S., Mr. Sikka said Infosys would still have to “train and hire more locally and work together with clients in figuring out how to balance that with the global talent that is outside, using more technology and so forth and use the visa as necessary and as permitted.”

Early this month, prominent Republican lawmaker Rep. Darrell Issa reintroduced a bill to tighten H-1B rules. But it is still unclear what action Mr. Trump or his administration might take, if any, to restrict the visas.

Mr. Trump issued a statement during the campaign vowing to “end forever the use of the H-1B as a cheap labor program,” though at other times he said he supported highly-skilled immigration. In addition, his wife, Melania Trump, says she used an H-1B visa to work in the U.S. as a fashion model, meaning Mr. Trump might be personally familiar with the program’s practical applications.

The demand for H-1B visas, intended to fill jobs for which there aren’t qualified Americans, is high both from U.S. technology firms like Microsoft Corp. and Intel Corp. and Indian outsourcing companies such as Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. and Wipro Ltd. Last April, the number of applications surpassed the entire fiscal year’s supply of 85,000 visas within five days, making it the fourth straight year in which demand surpassed supply in under a week. Some two-thirds of the visas, allotted by lottery, go to the tech sector.

U.S. critics of Indian outsourcers say the firms secure high-skill visas for jobs U.S. workers could do for clients like banks, retailers and others, but for whom they would have to pay more. The Indian firms say they have difficulty finding enough U.S. tech workers to hire.

“We hope we can work together” with the Trump administration, said Shivendra Singh, who heads global trade development for India’s tech industry body Nasscom, which cut its growth forecast for the outsourcing industry soon after Mr. Trump’s election.

Mr. Singh acknowledged Indian firms grapple with the perception that they rely excessively on skilled-worker visas. “People mention visa abuse, low cost labor, the replacement of American workers,” he said, but he noted that outsourcers work with most of the U.S.’s largest corporations, contributing to the American economy.

A spokeswoman at TCS, India’s largest outsourcer by sales, didn’t immediately respond to questions about the company’s preparations for potential changes to visa rules. A Wipro spokesman declined to comment, citing the quiet period ahead of its quarterly results due next week.

Following the U.S. election, Nasscom, which stands for the National Association of Software and Services Companies, in November cut its growth forecast for the sector to 8%-10% for the fiscal year ending March 31. That is down from a previous estimate of 10%-12% and far below the industry’s 16.5% growth for the fiscal year ended in 2012. The group cited “global, political and economic and business scenarios” among the factors.

In India, the outsourcing industry employs nearly 3.7 million people, representing a crucial path to the middle class in the world’s second-most-populous country. The U.S. accounts for about 60% of the Indian outsourcing industry’s revenue, according to Nasscom, and India’s outsourcers send tens of thousands of workers to the U.S. every year.

Hiring more workers in the U.S. could raise costs for Indian tech firms, said Madhu Babu, an analyst who studies the tech sector at Mumbai-based brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher, as they would likely demand higher salaries. Indian staff are also more likely to move to wherever they are needed in the U.S. and can simply be sent home when projects end, while workers hired domestically might be less mobile and may expect longer-term employment, he said.

Outsourcers might look to acquire smaller IT-services firms in the U.S., which would boost their manpower there but require financial outlays in the near-term, he said. The companies are also looking at hiring additional workers in India to do more work for companies in the U.S. remotely, Mr. Babu said.

The increased scrutiny on outsourcing firms’ U.S. hiring practices comes as they also face challenges due in part to the rise of new technologies like cloud computing, which require less labor.

To make matters worse, outsourcers’ clients in the critical financial industry have also been slashing IT budgets amid macroeconomic uncertainty following the U.K. referendum to leave the European Union and Mr. Trump’s election.

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Post ID: @OP+LsjGoNm

9 replies (most recent on top)

We'll know soon enough

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Post ID: @nugo+LsjGoNm

...

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Post ID: @lsrk+LsjGoNm

We'll see

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Post ID: @agnl+LsjGoNm

I don't think this is solvable

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Post ID: @8yow+LsjGoNm

Me too.

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Post ID: @6vel+LsjGoNm

I see your point, 2jfo, but still somehow hope you're wrong

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Post ID: @4whj+LsjGoNm

They want to raise the minimum salary of an H1B worker to 100K. But the H1Bs are already getting paid more than that in many areas like California and New York. So even if they raise the minimum salary, most H1B will end up in CA and NY. The tech salaries will remain depressed no matter what unless they restrict the H1Bs to researchers and entrepreneurs. The so called Republican bill to reform H1B is toothless.

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Post ID: @2jfo+LsjGoNm

don't get your hopes too high. Obama already started putting curbs on Indian outsourcing firms(for example, raising fees). Trump wants his billionair friends running the american companies to benefit more from outsourcing by cutting the Indian company middlemen.

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Post ID: @2acu+LsjGoNm

Bipartisan bill aims to reform H-1B visa system

http://money.cnn.com/2017/01/21/technology/h1b-reform-bill-grassley-durbin/index.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_latest+%28CNNMoney%3A+Latest+News%29

A new bill wants to give first dibs on H-1B visas to the "best and brightest" foreign students educated in the U.S.

Senators Chuck Grassley and D--k Durbin, both long-time H-1B reform advocates, plan to reintroduce their bill for revamping the program imminently. The bill was first introduced in 2007.

Lawmakers have been debating proposals to change the popular H-1B visa program for years. The visas are in high demand, with three times more applications filed in 2016 than the annual limit of 85,000. But the program has also been highly contentious.

Currently, visas are allocated by a lottery system. But the proposed bill would eliminate the lottery system and task the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services with creating a "preference system" so that foreign students educated in the U.S. get priority on visas. It would give a "leg up" to advanced degree holders, those being paid a high wage, and those with valuable skills, according to the announcement.

In so doing, Grassley and Durbin say they'll weed out outsourcing firms.

H-1B visas are used so that foreign workers can fill skill gaps in the American workforce. However, critics argue that outsourcing firms exploit the system by hiring foreign workers and paying them less than Americans would make for the same jobs.

Related: Startup visa alternative will launch in July

President Donald Trump has said he wants to crack down on misuse of visas -- but it's unclear how he might do so. Some speculate that the timing of Grassley and Durbin's bill could be to preempt any actions by Trump on immigration in the coming days.

Related: Trump's crackdown on 'visa abuse': Experts weigh in

Other elements of the bill, called the H-1B and L-1 Visa Reform Act, include giving the Department of Labor "enhanced authority" to review, investigate and audit employers sponsoring H-1B visas and L-1 visas (for foreigners who've worked in an overseas branch of the company and request transfer to the U.S.). It would also establish wage floors for L-1 workers.

Like other proposals on the table, Grassley and Durbin say their bill will both help American workers and crack down on the exploitation of foreigners.

Representative Darrell Issa, a California Republican, introduced a bill earlier this month that aims to make it more expensive and complicated for companies to use H-1B visas. Rep. Zoe Lofgren, a Democrat who represents Silicon Valley, plans to introduce a more comprehensive bill that would award visas based on which employers offer the highest salaries.

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Post ID: @1wkl+LsjGoNm

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