Thread regarding IBM layoffs

The 3 Biggest Mistakes Warren Buffett Made With IBM

Back in 2011, IBM guided for EPS of $20 a share by 2015, up from $11.52 in 2010. However, that goal

soon became more of an albatross than a guiding light. The promise was made by Palmisano, but was

tasked to Rometty, who was named CEO in 2011. During the intervening years, IBM's revenue growth

turned negative as enterprise customers switched from traditional IT solutions — IBM's strength — to

cloud-based technologies. To try to meet the goal, Rometty aggressively bought back shares, laid off

workers, and sold divisions, but it wasn't enough, and the strategy hurt both morale and the company's

performance.

Regarding morale: luckily at this point, there's none remaining left to hurt.

However, Buffett seemed to be mistakenly focusing on the goal rather than the process. Share

buybacks are easy to do, and are often a sign of management's lack of ideas. Prior to 2015, Rometty

aggressively repurchased shares in the hopes of meeting the $20 EPS goal, but that did nothing to

shore up the underlying business.

In 2014, IBM spent more than $12 billion on buybacks, and for a time the company was spending more

on buybacks and dividends than it was bringing in in free cash flow, funding the difference with new

debt. Spending on research and development, though, was flat. The company lost ground to

competitors, and its revenue and profits fell.

"Share buybacks are easy to do, and are often a sign of management's lack of ideas." Indeed. . .

https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/02/18/the-3-biggest-mistakes-warren-buffett-made-with-ib.aspx

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Post ID: @OP+RN5C3x8

3 replies (most recent on top)

Warren selling makes a pile of Sense Sell while the tax advantage is still there. Now the question is how does IBM march forward. Combining GBS with GTS makes sense in that you are spinning off legacy operations to the cloud. (this harvests CRM, ERP, lotus, etc etc while creating redundancies in head count). THUS the 10-15k RA. My guess is it will be deeper. This combining / cloud movement, doesn’t take care of the day to day outsourcing operations. THUS my belief of a Spin off of non-strategic operations to a low cost / off shore operation. The remaining approx 60 billion “strategic/ enterprise ” operations will then be polished up for a possible absobtion into someone who can use IBM’s expertise. Who can afford, and appreciate what the “strategic” IBM brings to the table??? There are only a couple of folks who appreciate what they bring to the table, and can afford it. ALSO remember they most likely will have to be USA owned. So net it out. Who likes P9 HW especially around LINUX, who likes “Enterprise penetration especially around Z14, who likes a patent portfolio that keeps giving and giving, who likes a “strategic consulting group with strategic SW to boot, and finally who likes a cloud player who will boost/ enhance their cloud operations. Net these questions against who can afford to write a check with their recently brought on shore earnings, or better yet who can afford to issue stock for a non-taxable acquition and I believe you have the way forward

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Post ID: @1qvd+RN5C3x8

I used to love the Motley Fool but they're a complete IBM tool - always sprouting sunshine about IBM out of their you know what. So they're very biased. Buffet made his investment because the first roadmap promise by Palmisano panned out, everyone made a lot of dough, and then Buffet bought in big on the second roadmap promise, which Rometty reneged on. Buffet held on for a while, but his tech advisors shined the light for him that IBM is going nowhere. They are sliding down the pack in cloud and the competition are all growing by leaps and bounds.

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Post ID: @1mvt+RN5C3x8

110 Billion in buyback since 2000 - what could of IBM done if it invested some of that in development and staff?

https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/04/25/after-forking-out-110-billion-on-stock-buybacks-ib.aspx

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Post ID: @1xvo+RN5C3x8

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