Thread regarding Sears layoffs

The profitable stores are just about gone

The profitable stores are all just about gone. Why? Well, let's see: it has a lot to do with location. A profitable store is almost always in a good location sitting on prime, marketable real estate. What was Eddie's intention all along? To sell the assets piece by piece. That included the choice real estate occupied by those profitable stores. Just about all of the best- and better-performing stores had been taken offline and so what's left are mostly the stores that are not as profitable, stores that would sit forever on the market if they were to be closed and stores that are leased. They are being kept alive long enough for Eddie's hedge fund to be able to buy some of the intellectual property (Kenmore, DieHard, maybe Shop Your Way and Home Services) and then it's game over.

As for the few profitable stores left over in the portfolio, it doesn't matter if they stepped up their game and had blisteringly high profit margins, increased volume and higher net income. Those stores are in the minority and there's nothing those stores could do to alleviate the mess that Sears Holdings is in, because the majority of stores combined with the countless sources of cash burn at all levels of the company will cancel out all of those efforts.

The statement that Eddie made about needing to make some material progress is true, because ALL the stores would have to increase their cash flow and profitability significantly and EVERY SINGLE business unit from Hoffman down to each individual department in each individual store (and everything in between) would have to face drastic changes to slow the bleeding just to even be close to having head above water. There would have to be one hell of a marketing plan and a prayer to God that there is enough volume in the thick of 4th quarter to offset the razor thin margins on discounted merchandise during the holidays.

It's not looking so good to me.

@VNgvCQw-1kvl made some valid points here. This deserves to be a thread.

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Post ID: @OP+VPYYJ5C

5 replies (most recent on top)

Somebody said that there are less than 20 truly profitable stores when you disregard the creative EBITDA nonsense.

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Post ID: @1lfo+VPYYJ5C

For the LAST time - its not about store profitability or unprofitability good location or crummy location

Its all about real estate

Sears or KiddieMart pay rent $1000 mo.

Close Sears or KiddieMart

Redevelop property

Obtain multiple new tenants paying up to 4-5 times $1000 mo. for same space

END OF LESSON

The offer to buy keep 400 stores and kenmore or other IP was red herring

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Post ID: @buk+VPYYJ5C

I've always wondered about the backwards approach in how this company chooses which stores to close. Before it just semed random, almost like a lottery. I worked at an unprofitable store in a horribly dated shopping center with no viability until August of this year. Last year, that store was placed on P2P (Path to Profitability) and it still missed all the stealth closures, the usual 50-70 closure lists released each quarter like clockwork and now, even the most recent list of closures.

I've watched stores in better locations close all around me and almost every time they are knocked down to make room for chain restaurants, gyms, theaters, offices or another store. I couldn't tell you if those stores were profitable or not since I didn't work at those stores but most of them seemed like they would be hot on the real estate market and evidently they were since developers snapped them up.

Normally most retailers are pretty straightforward in choosing which stores to close. Unlike Sears, it's almost always the unprofitable stores. They aren't making their money in selling or leasing the properties of their stores. Some of our leased stores were profitable yet they were still closed because Sears did not want to make a new commitment when the leases came up for renewal.

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Post ID: @pgz+VPYYJ5C

This is ALL by design. Make no mistake.

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Post ID: @wzo+VPYYJ5C

This is so true. I know it used to drive the buyers crazy when he’d sell off profitable stores. Such a bad strategy. The proceeds from these sales were used to fund operational losses, stock buybacks and b---s--- “transformation” projects. Brilliant.

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Post ID: @gog+VPYYJ5C

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