Thread regarding IBM layoffs

IBM Struggles to Jump-Start Its Turnaround

Asked if job cuts were planned as IBM struggles to ramp up business, Mr. Kavanaugh said the

company would “take actions to address the stranded costs and structures” that would eat the majority

of a projected $500 million to $700 million gain from planned divestitures.

So IBM employees are not even worthy enough to be considered "resources", but instead "stranded costs and structures"? Talk about further debasing.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ibms-revenue-falls-again-11555445687

International Business Machines Corp. reported a third consecutive quarter of declining revenue, further clouding Chief Executive Ginni Rometty’s yearslong quest to revitalize the computing giant.

Under Ms. Rometty, who has been at the helm since 2012, IBM has poured resources into its cloud-computing business and new technologies such as artificial intelligence, aiming to reorient Big Blue in a world where traditional growth engines like equipment sales and services haven’t been growing as rapidly.

IBM said its cloud businesses grew by 10% in the past 12 months.

For a brief spell last year, it appeared as though IBM had turned a corner, reporting successive quarters of overall revenue growth—however small.

That changed in the middle of 2018, as Wall Street analysts and investors watched revenue tip back under.

IBM shares fell 2.7% to $141.21 in extended trading after closing Tuesday less than 1% higher.

Several of IBM’s lines of business, including cloud services and information-technology-support services declined.

IBM also had faced a tough comparison to last year’s first quarter, when a new generation of industrial-strength mainframe computers helped drive sales. That segment dropped 11% in the latest quarter.

In a conference call with analysts Tuesday, IBM Chief Financial Officer James Kavanaugh blamed the most-recent revenue decline in part on clients in the Asia-Pacific region delaying buying decisions.

“The team’s on the field, and we’re focused on closing” those transactions, Mr. Kavanaugh said, also affirming the company’s annual guidance.

Net income fell 5.2% to $1.59 billion. Adjusted profit, which excludes some items such as acquisition costs, came to $2.25 a share. Analysts had expected $2.22.

Despite the drop in net profit and revenue, IBM touted the growth in its cloud-computing revenue, which reached $19.5 billion for the past 12 months. Mr. Kavanaugh also pointed to IBM’s expanding margins as the company pursues faster-growing businesses that cost less to run.

While growth was flat or declined in all of IBM’s main reported lines of business, the company bumped up its overall profit margin by a percentage point to 44.2%.

Asked if job cuts were planned as IBM struggles to ramp up business, Mr. Kavanaugh said the company would “take actions to address the stranded costs and structures” that would eat the majority of a projected $500 million to $700 million gain from planned divestitures.

IBM, Mr. Kavanaugh said, expects to close most—if not all—planned divestitures in the second quarter.

Once an icon of American ingenuity, IBM has struggled to compete in the modern computing era as the rise of cloud giants like Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google have challenged an old model where big companies handled their critical computing needs largely in-house. IBM sees promise in the so-called hybrid cloud—the idea that companies will increasingly use a combination of cloud services and their own equipment to accomplish those tasks—and aims to grow that business.

IBM’s cloud segment may not be growing as fast as some of Amazon’s or Microsoft ’s cloud services, Mr. Kavanaugh said, but the company is keeping pace with its target for midteen growth in the hybrid cloud, a rate he said can allow it to take share in that arena.

Ms. Rometty is aiming to bolster IBM’s hybrid-cloud strategy through IBM’s acquisition of Red Hat Inc., an open-source software and services company that helps businesses streamline their computing strategies as they grow. That deal, valued at around $33 billion, is IBM’s largest-ever acquisition and is expected to close in the second half of the year. IBM intends to suspend its share repurchases in 2020 and 2021 to pay down debt.

IBM’s revenue had fallen virtually every quarter since Ms. Rometty took over, up until the last quarter of 2017, when it suddenly rose again. The company saw further revenue rises in the first half of last year, but that turnaround proved short-lived: Revenue declined again in the last two quarters of 2018.

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Post ID: @OP+Z5wQZH9

7 replies (most recent on top)

Here is what Zacks thinks. Where do you see weakness out side of a MUST have division

GTS, IGF, and storage are looking very commodity like

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-ibm-ibm-down-3-133001343.html

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Post ID: @lqw+Z5wQZH9

Ms. Rometty is aiming to bolster IBM’s hybrid-cloud strategy through IBM’s acquisition of Red Hat Inc.

not happening

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Post ID: @orf+Z5wQZH9

So if we take the 500-700 million stranded costs and back into a number, we can estimate the cutting that the CFO has confirmed. The old IBM number was 10000 heads equaled 1 billion dollars of restructuring. NOTE that was mostly first world restructuring charges and the 10000 heads go a 6 month severance. So going to today’s model 1 month of severance and 2 weeks notice we end up at 45 days / 180 days = .25. Let’s average the 500-700 to 600 million. 10,000 x .6 = 6000 heads divided by .25 = 24,000 heads in play. Now let’s ask does the 24k worth of heads coming out of an organization of approx 130k worth of heads make sense. 24/130 = 18%. I believe an 18% cut is reasonable. So now here comes the “speculation” part. AGAIN only speculation. 130 - 24 = 106. How many heads out of GTS did IBM harvest into Cognitive, GBS, and into HW (think Z and enterprise Power). A reasonable number is that 1/3 of GTS is quite profitable and IBM wants that. So 30-35k worth of heads get harvested. That leaves a leaner 60-70k worth of heads for IBM to spin / sell / joint venture off to one of the low margin outsourcers. A CFO can dream can’t they

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Post ID: @hrc+Z5wQZH9

mutual fund cos are the key because they have hold big chunks of stock in their value portfolios because of the lure of steady dividend

either they ask for change, or someone inside ibm asks for change - but the greed started by the board has corrupted the chain

need some recognized media e.g. cnbc. to investigate and spook the mutual fund cos.

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Post ID: @ati+Z5wQZH9

Read the rest of the earnings report and ask yourself this question. Why did IBM move cloud revenue to cognitive? Where did the cloud revenue come out of (hint TS&C). Why did IBM unravel the GTS/GBS Services combination and rename TS&C GTS? If you are not paying attention, the bullseye is on the old TS&C now renamed GTS. You never hear the one heading for you. You really need to know where the 500-700 million is going to be spent? The stranded costs are in the “new” GTS If you work for the new GTS, it’s about to rain

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Post ID: @yvg+Z5wQZH9

22 straight quarters of declining revenue followed by 3 quarters of growth followed by 3 quarters of decline. Seems to me that if anything, the 3 quarters of growth were the anomaly. Driven almost entirely by the new mainframe release. All of this strikes me as odd since IBM has been completely focused on transitioning the business to high growth strategic imperatives (NOT selling mainframes) and recently stopped reporting the percentage of the business represented by these new high growth strategic imperatives since they now account for the majority of the business. Maybe someone needs to check the math because it isn't adding up.

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Post ID: @hts+Z5wQZH9

I'd like to emphasize this:

IBM’s revenue had fallen virtually every quarter since Ms. Rometty took over

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Post ID: @skd+Z5wQZH9

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